Aufbau und Regelwerk » Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

in Aufbau und Regelwerk 14.01.2019 04:43
von zhangzk | 50 Beiträge | 500 Punkte

Games Before the first Sunday of the 2018 NFL regular season kicks off , let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for today’s games. (Click here for NFL Week 1 picks without regard to the spread.)You can find all of today’s NFL betting lines and more via SB Nation. My regular season record last year was 118-105-9. Let’s get to the picks.NFL Week 1 GamesTampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-10): The Saints arguably have one of the best rosters in the NFL. They’re a top five team in the league. The Buccaneers do not arguably have one of the best rosters in the NFL. They’re a bottom five team in the league. I’m always a little wary about something weird happening in divisional games, but the Saints seem like the easy way to go here. PICK: Saints -10San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings (-7): I’m not all in on the Niners just yet. I want to see more out of them. With that said, I’m in on them enough to think they’re not getting enough respect here. And I’ve never been the biggest Kirk Cousins guy anyway. I don’t know if the Niners are going to win outright but the fighting Jimmy G’s will find a way to at least cover the spread here. PICK: 49ers +7Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (-7.5): The Bills starting Nathan Peterman against a tough Ravens defense makes me want to go with the home team here. The only thing that gives me pause is my lack of confidence in Joe Flacco and Baltimore’s offense to score points. The Ravens only beat the Bills by a score of 13 to 9 last year, for what it’s worth. New year though. Taking the Ravens and not feeling amazing about it. PICK: Ravens -7.5Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5) at New York Giants: The Giants stink more than Blake Bortles does. Sacksonville’s offense is going to harass Eli Manning and neutralize New York’s offensive weapons. The Jalen Ramsey versus Odell Beckham Jr. battle will be entertaining but the former will win it. PICK: Jaguars -2.5Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-6.5): It’s hard to understand why the Patriots , who lost to the Eagles in the Super Bowl, are favored by so much when Tom Brady can’t catch and fumbles the game away. There’s some upset potential here with a Texans team that gets Deshaun Watson and J.J. Watt back. The Texans made a real game of this year when these two teams played in 2017. I am concerned here about the Texans’ lack of offensive line continuity but Watson might be able to work around that. PICK: Texans +6.5Tennessee Titans (-1) at Miami Dolphins: The Dolphins have the makings of a team competing for the No. 1 overall pick. I’ve just never been a Ryan Tannehill guy and I don’t see why I would start to be one now. Meanwhile, I’ve always been a Marcus Mariota guy, even though he’s underwhelmed. The Titans just have more talent than a Dolphins team that was downright horrible at times in 2017. PICK: Titans -1Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-3): Ah Nate Gerry Jersey , the first game of the year that makes me go “Yuck.” Two relatively irrelevant teams in the AFC going at it. Real riveting stuff. The Colts might have some potential if Andrew Luck truly is healthy and back to form. I just don’t know for sure that he is. I don’t enjoy betting on Marv Lewis and Andy Dalton against Frank Reich and Luck, but I just feel like the Colts’ roster is so bad. PICK: Bengals +3Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5) at Cleveland Browns: I don’t care that the Steelers don’t have Le’Veon Bell. They still have good things going for them with Antonio Brown and an offensive line that can protect Ben Roethlisberger. I’m not about to just bet on a team that’s gone 1-31 over the past two years to suddenly be great. PICK: Steelers -4Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (-3): Tough one. It’s not easy to bet against Andy Reid in the regular season. Pat Mahomes is intriguing. But the Chargers are a good team. They finished NINTH overall in point differential last season. The Bolts are notoriously unlucky and perhaps that will continue but I’m going to say this is their season in the AFC West. For real this time! Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram are going to make life hard on Mahomes this weekend. PICK: Chargers -3Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals (-1): I mean, maybe Sam Bradford inexplicably has a great game like he did in Week 1 last year. But am I going to bet on that?
No. I know the Cardinals can be tougher than they appear when they’re playing at home in the desert, but I think his Washington team is solid enough to win. PICK: Washington -1Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (-3): How the mighty have fallen. These two sides are shells of the teams that competed in the Super Bowl five years ago. I think I’m leaning towards the Broncos here but am I really confident that Case Keenum is just gonna be good again this year? Not really. But can I trust a Seahawks team that didn’t have a good offseason and hired Brian Schottenheimer as their offensive coordinator?! Not really. So I don’t know who to trust here. Maybe just stay away from this one. I’ll just go with the home team Authentic Corey Graham Jersey , I guess. PICK: Broncos -3Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers (-3): Ezekiel Elliott’s return means that Dak Prescott doesn’t have to be counted on for actually doing his job (throwing the ball) as much. That’s good news for the Cowboys. Another thing Dallas has going for themselves is that the Panthers are without their starting right tackle with DeMarcus Lawrence coming to town. The Panthers are inconsistent on a year-to-year basis so I don’t have full trust in them. Plus I want to jinx the Cowboys by taking them here. PICK: Cowboys +3Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5): The Bears may very well make a leap forward this season. I just don’t know enough about Mitch Trubisky to fully believe in the Bears. I’m going to say Aaron Rodgers is highly motivated to crush a division opponent in his first game back. PICK: Packers -7New York Jets at Detroit Lions (-7): I think the Lions are getting too much respect here. There’s some upset potential. But there’s also room for Sam Darnold kind of looking lost as a rookie on the road. Let’s just go with the home team for now. PICK: Lions -7Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) at Oakland Raiders: The Raiders are a tire fire with Jon Gruden in charge. They’re going to get smoked by a team with a coach who lives in the present. PICK: Rams +4.5Eagles vs. Giants Game Preview Thursday Night Football is a huge game for the Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) as they try to end their two-game losing streak with a win over the New York Giants (1-4). The Eagles can keep their season alive and advance to first in the NFC East with a victory.In order to get you ready for this division battle, John Stolnis and I got together to preview this week’s matchup on the newest episode of BGN Radio. Topics include:The bad news and the good news about the Eagles’ struggles so farRunning back trade optionsHow the Eagles will split running back duties moving forwardStressing the magnitude of this gameThe Eagles’ history of owning the Giants (16-4 in their last 20)Final injury report updateKey matchups to watchTime for the Eagles defensive line to come up hugeRing The Bell: NFL picks against the spreadEagles vs. Giants final score predictionsAnd much more!You can CLICK HERE to listen to this episode or use the embedded player below:Apple Podcasts | Google Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | RSS...Reminder: Since we were forced to create an entirely new podcast feed, we could really use your support. We kindly ask that you SUBSCRIBE, RATE Youth Corey Clement Jersey , and REVIEW! Doing so helps us accomplish cool things like becoming a top five podcast in the Apple Podcast store. And that helps us reach more Eagles fans out there in the world.Up next: Stay tuned for the Eagles-Giants post-game show!Make sure you subscribe so you don’t miss an episode! Also please follow @BGN_Radio on Twitter.

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